Download Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel, + WebsiteBy John Charnes

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Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel, + WebsiteBy John Charnes

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Updated look at financial modeling and Monte Carlo simulation with software by Oracle Crystal Ball

This revised and updated edition of the bestselling book on financial modeling provides the tools and techniques needed to perform spreadsheet simulation. It answers the essential question of why risk analysis is vital to the decision-making process, for any problem posed in finance and investment. This reliable resource reviews the basics and covers how to define and refine probability distributions in financial modeling, and explores the concepts driving the simulation modeling process. It also discusses simulation controls and analysis of simulation results.

The second edition of Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel contains instructions, theory, and practical example models to help apply risk analysis to such areas as derivative pricing, cost estimation, portfolio allocation and optimization, credit risk, and cash flow analysis. It includes the resources needed to develop essential skills in the areas of valuation, pricing, hedging, trading, risk management, project evaluation, credit risk, and portfolio management.

• Offers an updated edition of the bestselling book covering the newest version of Oracle Crystal Ball
• Contains valuable insights on Monte Carlo simulation—an essential skill applied by many corporate finance and investment professionals
• Written by John Charnes, the former finance department chair at the University of Kansas and senior vice president of global portfolio strategies at Bank of America, who is currently President and Chief Data Scientist at Syntelli Solutions, Inc. Risk Analytics and Predictive Intelligence Division (Syntelli RAPID)

Engaging and informative, this book is a vital resource designed to help you become more adept at financial modeling and simulation.

• Sales Rank: #478798 in Books
• Published on: 2012-06-05
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.30" h x .90" w x 7.40" l, 1.27 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 336 pages

From the Back Cover

Praise for the previous edition

"Professor Charnes's book drives clarity into applied Monte Carlo analysis using examples and tools relevant to real-world finance. The book will prove useful for analysts of all levels and as a supplement to academic courses in multiple disciplines."
—Mark Odermann, Senior Financial Analyst, Microsoft

"Think you really know financial modeling? This is a must-have for power Excel users. Professor Charnes shows how to make more realistic models that result in fewer surprises. Every analyst needs this credibility booster."
—James Franklin, CEO, SendGrid

"This book packs a first-year MBA's worth of financial and business modeling education into a few dozen easy-to-understand examples. Crystal Ball software does the housekeeping, so readers can concentrate on the business decision. A careful reader who works the examples on a computer will master the best general-purpose technology available for working with uncertainty."
—Aaron Brown, Risk Manager, AQR Capital Management, and author of The Poker Face of Wall Street and Red-Blooded Risk

"Using Crystal Ball and Excel, John Charnes takes you step by step, demonstrating a conceptual framework that turns static Excel data and financial models into true risk models. I am astonished by the clarity of the text and the hands-on, step-by-step examples using Crystal Ball and Excel; Professor Charnes is a masterful teacher, and this is an absolute gem of a book for the new generation of analyst."
—Brian Watt, Chief Operating Officer, GECC, Inc.

"Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel is a comprehensive, well-written guide to one of the most useful analysis tools available to professional risk managers and quantitative analysts. This is a must-have book for anyone using Crystal Ball, and anyone wanting an overview of basic risk management concepts."
—Paul Dietz, Manager, Quantitative Analysis, Westar Energy

"John Charnes presents an insightful exploration of techniques for analysis and understanding of risk and uncertainty in business cases. By application of real options theory and Monte Carlo simulation to planning, doors are opened to analysis of what used to be impossible, such as modeling the value today of future project choices."
—Bruce Wallace, former Director of Technology Strategy and Investments, Nortel

The Second Edition of Financial Modeling with Oracle® Crystal Ball and Excel®+ Website puts an emphasis on practical application. To that end, this book provides readers with exclusive access to a companion website filled with supplementary materials, allowing you to continue to learn in a hands-on fashion long after closing the book.

About the Author

John Charnes, PhD, MBA, is President of the Risk Analytics and Predictive Intelligence Division (RAPID) of Syntelli Solutions Inc. Prior to this, he was finance department chair at the University of Kansas and senior vice president of global portfolio strategies at Bank of America. Charnes created the Crystal Ball Training CD, a multimedia course on the basic elements of stochastic modeling with Crystal Ball, acquired by Oracle. His specialty is the application of computer simulation and statistical methods for identifying and solving business problems, including the use of simulation for option pricing and hedging with derivatives to comply with Financial Accounting Standard (FAS) 133.

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Download Redecision Therapy: A Brief, Action-Oriented ApproachFrom Jason Aronson, Inc.

Download Redecision Therapy: A Brief, Action-Oriented ApproachFrom Jason Aronson, Inc.

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Redecision Therapy: A Brief, Action-Oriented ApproachFrom Jason Aronson, Inc.

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Editor Carolyn Lennox characterizes the redecision therapist as a director in an improvisational theater. Guided by the client's personal contract for change, the therapist helps the client select and rewrite old scripts in which he or she was cast as victim. By keeping the dialogue moving and assisting the client in confronting negative messages, the therapist supports revision of the last act so that the self can be experienced as triumphant protagonist and the victory can be carried over into everyday life.

This compendium of contributions from twenty-two experienced redecision therapists first addresses issues of theory—how to negotiate a clear contract for change, how to identify client impasses, how to access the client's potential for creativity (what transactional analysis calls the "natural child")—and then illustrates applications of the theory in the treatment of depression, anxiety, bulimia, PTSD, and so forth in individuals and groups and in private, HMO, and hospital settings. Closing chapters discuss redecision therapy training and supervision.

The book's thoroughly accessible approach to brief, action-oriented therapy will be welcomed by students and practitioners alike as what Dr. Lennox gracefully terms "teachable and learnable magic."

• Sales Rank: #1974337 in eBooks
• Published on: 1997-03-01
• Released on: 2013-09-06
• Format: Kindle eBook

From the Back Cover
The book's thoroughly accessible approach to brief, action-oriented therapy will be welcomed by students and practitioners alike as what Dr. Lennox gracefully terms 'teachable and learnable magic.'

About the Author
Carolyn Lennox, M.S.W., Ed.D., has been conducting individual, group, marital, and family therapy for more than eighteen years, during the past seven of which she has studied, trained in, supervised, and practiced redecision therapy. A member of the Academy of Certified Social Workers and the International Transactional Analysis Association, as well as a Clinical Member of the American Association for Marriage and Family Therapy, Dr. Lennox practices in Richardson, Texas.

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Redecision Therapy: A Brief, Action-Oriented ApproachFrom Jason Aronson, Inc. PDF

Redecision Therapy: A Brief, Action-Oriented ApproachFrom Jason Aronson, Inc. PDF

Redecision Therapy: A Brief, Action-Oriented ApproachFrom Jason Aronson, Inc. PDF